Archive

Research papers, tools and ideas

The group's research leads with multi-agent AI — coordination and its measurement pathologies, authorization and standing for artificial systems, and the governance of AI crises — alongside systemic risk and market microstructure, and the philosophy underneath both. One question throughout: how complex adaptive systems hold together when their parts want different things.

This page is the record: what is finished, what is with reviewers, what stalled, and what was abandoned. Software appears beside the paper it came out of. Work that is open rather than finished lives on Projects.

01 · The record

Everything, by how finished it is

01 Current focus 4

What the group is actively building on. The consent-friction formalism and the replicator-optimization mechanism are the theoretical core, and the multi-agent reinforcement-learning work that tests them is ongoing — a 3,750-run factorial built to break the framework did exactly that, and the corrected law and the post-mortem are both public.

02 Accepted 1

Through peer review and scheduled for publication.

Forthcoming · Digital Finance (Springer)

Do Cryptocurrency Markets Differentiate Infrastructure from Regulatory Shocks? A Multi-Moment Event Study with Dependence-Robust Inference

Python package GJR-GARCH-X v0.3.0

Student-t GJR-GARCH with exogenous regressors in the variance equation

pip install gjr-garch-x
Python package robust-eventstudy v0.1.0

Dependence-robust inference for heavy-tailed cross-asset event studies

pip install robust-eventstudy

03 In peer review 3

Submitted and with reviewers. Venues are named where a decision is pending.

04 Preprints 10

Public, citable, and not currently under submission.

05 Preliminary drafts and early-stage work 3

Real results that do not yet carry the evidence their headline claims. Each one names what is missing, and several are open to collaborators.

06 Discontinued lines 2

Lines the group is no longer pursuing. They stay public because the arguments and data may be useful to someone else, and because a lab that only shows its live work is not showing much.

Full PDFs and Google Scholar metadata on each paper page. Also indexed at farzulla.org.